Where and when is Bali United vs Arema FC played?

Bali United vs Arema FC is played on April 30, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bali United vs Arema FC: prediction and stats

Liga 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, Gianyar

Bali United

Arema FC

The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arema FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bali United vs Arema FC?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Bali United (1,775) and Arema FC (1,747).

Bali United win48 %

Draw25 %

Arema FC win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bali United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Arema FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bali United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Persib Bandung(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 22, 2026	Dewa United(away)	1-0	Liga 1
May 17, 2026	Bhayangkara FC(home)	4-1	Liga 1
May 11, 2026	Pusamania Borneo(home)	2-3	Liga 1
May 5, 2026	Persepam Madura Utd(away)	0-2	Liga 1

Arema FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 6, 2026	Persija(away)	1-3	Piala Presiden
Aug 4, 2026	Persebaya Surabaya(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 31, 2026	DPMM FC Brunei(home)	2-0	Piala Presiden
Jul 28, 2026	Tampines Rovers(away)	2-1	Piala Presiden
Jul 25, 2026	Persib Bandung(away)	0-1	Piala Presiden

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bali United win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Arema FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 6, 2026	Arema FC 3-4 Bali United	Liga 1
Jan 4, 2026	Bali United 1-0 Arema FC	Liga 1
Feb 3, 2025	Arema FC 1-0 Bali United	Liga 1
Sep 11, 2024	Bali United 0-0 Arema FC	Liga 1
Jul 21, 2024	Bali United 0-1 Arema FC	Piala Presiden
Dec 4, 2023	Bali United 3-2 Arema FC	Liga 1

Last archived meeting: Arema FC vs Bali United on Mar 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arema FC score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bali United	2.1	1.6	4	8/15	9/15
Arema FC	1.5	1.3	5	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bali United sit 8th in Liga 1 (51 points from 34 matches) and Arema FC sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Bali United	34	14	9	11	57	48	51
9	Arema FC	34	13	9	12	53	47	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bali United vs Arema FC?: The Footlab model makes Bali United the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Arema FC.
Where and when is Bali United vs Arema FC played?: Bali United vs Arema FC is played on April 30, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Kapten I Wayan Dipta, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.