PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 28Kick-off on April 28, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maguwoharjo, Yogyakarta
The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for PSS Sleman. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate PSS Sleman (1,764) and Persebaya Surabaya (1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSS Sleman have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Persebaya Surabaya have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Garudayaksa(home) | 2-2 | Liga 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | PSIS Semarang(home) | 3-0 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Persiba Balikpapan(away) | 1-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Persiku Kudus(home) | 2-1 | Liga 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Barito Putera(away) | 0-1 | Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 1-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 2-1 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 29, 2026 | PSMS Medan(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persija(home) | 1-0 | Piala Presiden |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PSS Sleman win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Persebaya Surabaya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | PSS Sleman 3-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | PSS Sleman 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Persebaya Surabaya 4-2 PSS Sleman | Liga 1 |
| Aug 27, 2022 | PSS Sleman 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya on Jan 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
PSS Sleman score 1.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Persebaya Surabaya score 2.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSS Sleman | 1.8 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Persebaya Surabaya | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Persebaya Surabaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 35 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya?
- The Footlab model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for PSS Sleman.
- Where and when is PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya played?
- PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya is played on April 28, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maguwoharjo, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.