Match

PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya: prediction and stats

Liga 1Matchday 28Kick-off on April 28, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Stadion Maguwoharjo, Yogyakarta

PSS SlemanPersebaya Surabaya

The Footlab AI model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for PSS Sleman. The most likely score is 1-1. If Persebaya Surabaya wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,794 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate PSS Sleman (1,786) and Persebaya Surabaya (1,883).

32%27%41%
PSS Sleman winDrawPersebaya Surabaya win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

PSS Sleman

4-3-3
  1. 88M. Lorenzen
  2. 11Gustavo Tocantins
  3. 72C. Mutzi
  1. 76D. Dion
  2. 7H. Tanaka
  3. 25R. Simanjuntak
  1. 4Cleberson
  2. 6K. Gomes
  3. 17S. Djoge
  4. 3Lucao
  1. 1Pedro Caracoci de Oliveira

Persebaya Surabaya

4-3-3
  1. 11Miguel Pereira
  2. 39Alex
  3. 16R. Pratama
  1. 40Gledson
  2. 68T. Firmansyah
  3. 7F. Rivera
  1. 17Jefferson
  2. 4Yuran Fernandes
  3. 2A. Catur
  4. 34Wálber
  1. 30Muhammad Reza Pratama

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PSS Sleman have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Persebaya Surabaya have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

PSS Sleman
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Bhayangkara FC(home)1-1Liga 1
Nov 4, 2026PSGC Ciamis(home)6-0League Cup Indonesia
Nov 1, 2026Garudayaksa(away)1-3Liga 1
Oct 27, 2026Pusamania Borneo(home)1-2Liga 1
Oct 22, 2026Persik Kediri(away)1-2Liga 1
Persebaya Surabaya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Persija(away)0-1Liga 1
Nov 3, 2026Tornado Pekanbaru(away)2-3League Cup Indonesia
Oct 30, 2026Persijap(home)1-1Liga 1
Oct 26, 2026Persepam Madura Utd(home)3-1Liga 1
Oct 22, 2026PSM Makassar(away)0-1Liga 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PSS Sleman win, 2 draws, 3 Persebaya Surabaya wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Persebaya Surabaya 2-2 PSS SlemanLiga 1
Jan 11, 2025PSS Sleman 3-1 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
Aug 11, 2024Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 PSS SlemanLiga 1
Mar 3, 2024Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 PSS SlemanLiga 1
Aug 26, 2023PSS Sleman 0-0 Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
Feb 13, 2023Persebaya Surabaya 4-2 PSS SlemanLiga 1

Last archived meeting: Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman on Oct 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

PSS Sleman score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Persebaya Surabaya score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
PSS Sleman1.71.5311/1512/15
Persebaya Surabaya1.20.958/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

PSS Sleman sit 16th in Liga 1 (5 points from 9 matches) and Persebaya Surabaya sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Persebaya Surabaya934210813
16PSS Sleman912612175

A question about PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The Footlab AI model makes Persebaya Surabaya the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for PSS Sleman.
Where and when is PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya played?
PSS Sleman vs Persebaya Surabaya is played on April 28, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Stadion Maguwoharjo, in the Liga 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: PSS Sleman and Persebaya Surabaya