Ballymena United vs H&W Welders: result 1-0 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on October 9, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Ballymena
Full time
What was the result of Ballymena United vs H&W Welders?
Ballymena United won 1-0 on October 9, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 90′J. WinchesterBallymena United
Official lineup for Ballymena United vs H&W Welders
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ballymena United
- CC. Friel
- JJ. McMurray
- KK. Balmer
- WW. Faulkner
- JJ. Winchester
- LL. Millar
- JJ. Ervin
- RReece Glendinning
- SS. Whiteside
- CConor Quigley
- RRoss Glendinning
H&W Welders
- DDavid Graham
- CChris Morrow
- RR. Deans
- SS. Davidson
- JJ. O'Mahony
- WW. Armstrong
- SS. McMillan
- CC. Harris
- KK. Hamill
- LLuckas Gwiazda
- MMatthew Anderson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballymena United have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; H&W Welders have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | Newry City AFC(home) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Coleraine FC(away) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 6-1 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | PSNI(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Dundela(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Loughgall(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2018 | Portstewart(home) | 4-4 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ballymena United score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; H&W Welders score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballymena United | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| H&W Welders | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy