Portadown vs Ballymena United: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Shamrock Park, Portadown
The Footlab model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Portadown. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portadown vs Ballymena United?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Portadown (1,449) and Ballymena United (1,482).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portadown have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ballymena United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kilbarrack United(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Portadown win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Ballymena United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ballymena United 1-2 Portadown | Premiership |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ballymena United 1-1 Portadown | Premiership |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Portadown 1-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Portadown 0-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Portadown 2-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ballymena United 2-0 Portadown | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Ballymena United vs Portadown on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Portadown score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portadown sit 10th in Premiership (0 points from 3 matches) and Ballymena United sit 8th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portadown vs Ballymena United?
- The Footlab model makes Ballymena United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Portadown.
- Where and when is Portadown vs Ballymena United played?
- Portadown vs Ballymena United is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Shamrock Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.