H&W Welders vs Ards: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blanchflower Stadium, Belfast
The Footlab AI model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Ards. The most likely score is 1-1. If H&W Welders wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win H&W Welders vs Ards?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate H&W Welders (1,442) and Ards (1,394).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for H&W Welders vs Ards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
H&W Welders
4-3-3- 11E. Devine
- 12E. Nto
- 28D. Mhondiwa
- 24R. Wilson
- 6D. Kearns
- LL. McKenna
- 30K. Nelson
- 2L. Patterson
- 8C. Harris
- 22E. McCoubrey
- 3S. Safaei
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, H&W Welders have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ards have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 H&W Welders wins, 0 draws, 2 Ards wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Ards 2-3 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Ards 1-4 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | H&W Welders 1-2 Ards | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Ards 2-5 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | H&W Welders 0-1 Ards | Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | H&W Welders 4-0 Ards | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
H&W Welders score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ards score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H&W Welders | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ards | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
H&W Welders sit 3rd in Championship (59 points from 33 matches) and Ards sit 8th (43 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | H&W Welders | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 41 | 59 |
| 8 | Ards | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 43 |
A question about H&W Welders vs Ards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for H&W Welders vs Ards?
- The Footlab AI model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Ards.
- Where and when is H&W Welders vs Ards played?
- H&W Welders vs Ards is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blanchflower Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.