Baltija vs Stumbras: result 1-3 and analysis
1 LygaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on May 16, 2014 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas, Panevėžys
Full time
What was the result of Baltija vs Stumbras?
Stumbras won 1-3 on May 16, 2014.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baltija have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Stumbras have 5, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2014 | MRU(away) | 0-5 | 1 Lyga |
| May 3, 2014 | Tauras(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Nevėžis(home) | 0-5 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Šilas(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 11, 2014 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2014 | Palanga(home) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
| May 3, 2014 | Utenis Utena(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 26, 2014 | MRU(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Tauras(away) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 12, 2014 | Nevėžis(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Baltija score 1.3 and concede 3.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stumbras score 2.2 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltija | 1.3 | 3.3 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Stumbras | 2.2 | 0.4 | 3 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy