Baltika vs Luch-Energiya: result 0-2 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on November 14, 2018 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
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What was the result of Baltika vs Luch-Energiya?
Luch-Energiya won 0-2 on November 14, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 18′Pavel StepanetsLuch-Energiya
- 48′Andrey PavlenkoLuch-Energiya (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baltika have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Luch-Energiya have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | TOM Tomsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Tambov(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Mordovia Saransk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2018 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Krasnodar 2(home) | 1-4 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2018 | Nizhny Novgorod(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Rotor Volgograd(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 28, 2018 | Fakel(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Oct 24, 2018 | Spartak Moscow 2(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Oct 20, 2018 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(away) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Baltika win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Luch-Energiya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2018 | Luch-Energiya 0-0 Baltika | First League |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Luch-Energiya 0-0 Baltika | First League |
| Sep 6, 2017 | Baltika 2-1 Luch-Energiya | First League |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Baltika 0-0 Luch-Energiya | First League |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Luch-Energiya 1-1 Baltika | First League |
Last archived meeting: Luch-Energiya vs Baltika on Aug 4, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
Baltika score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Luch-Energiya score 0.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Luch-Energiya | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy