Bodrum FK vs Fatih Karagümrük: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bodrum İlçe Stadı, Bodrum
The Footlab model makes Bodrum FK the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Fatih Karagümrük. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bodrum FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Bodrum FK (1,884) and Fatih Karagümrük (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bodrum FK have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Fatih Karagümrük have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(home) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 16, 2026 | Alanyaspor(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Kocaelispor(away) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bodrum FK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fatih Karagümrük win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | Fatih Karagümrük 4-0 Bodrum FK | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Fatih Karagümrük vs Bodrum FK on Dec 29, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Bodrum FK score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fatih Karagümrük score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodrum FK | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Fatih Karagümrük | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bodrum FK sit 17th in 1. Lig (2 points from 3 matches) and Fatih Karagümrük sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fatih Karagümrük | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 17 | Bodrum FK | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bodrum FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?
- The Footlab model makes Bodrum FK the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Fatih Karagümrük.
- Where and when is Bodrum FK vs Fatih Karagümrük played?
- Bodrum FK vs Fatih Karagümrük is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bodrum İlçe Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.