Keçiörengücü vs Muğlaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Aktepe Stadı, Ankara
The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Muğlaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Keçiörengücü vs Muğlaspor?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Keçiörengücü (1,870) and Muğlaspor (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Keçiörengücü have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Muğlaspor have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pendikspor(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-4 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 10, 2026 | Elazığspor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Keçiörengücü score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Muğlaspor score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keçiörengücü | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Muğlaspor | 0.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Keçiörengücü sit 8th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Muğlaspor sit 18th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Keçiörengücü | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Muğlaspor | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Keçiörengücü vs Muğlaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Muğlaspor.
- Where and when is Keçiörengücü vs Muğlaspor played?
- Keçiörengücü vs Muğlaspor is played on May 8, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Aktepe Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.