Banga vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Gargždų miesto stadionas, Gargždai
The Footlab model makes Banga the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for FK Zalgiris Vilnius. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Banga vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Banga (1,718) and FK Zalgiris Vilnius (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Banga have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 3-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 3-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Banga(home) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 7-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Banga win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 Banga | A Lyga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Banga 3-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Apr 17, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-1 Banga | A Lyga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Banga 0-2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Jul 4, 2025 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| May 3, 2025 | Banga 2-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Banga score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FK Zalgiris Vilnius score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banga | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Banga sit 5th in A Lyga (37 points from 24 matches) and FK Zalgiris Vilnius sit 4th (37 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 37 |
| 5 | Banga | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Banga vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
- The Footlab model makes Banga the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
- Where and when is Banga vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius played?
- Banga vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Gargždų miesto stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.