TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Širvintų stadionas, Širvintos
The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for TransINVEST Vilnius. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Kauno Žalgiris starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,827 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TransINVEST Vilnius have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kauno Žalgiris have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Šiauliai(home) | 3-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 2-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 TransINVEST Vilnius win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Kauno Žalgiris win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Jun 20, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Mar 22, 2025 | TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 Kauno Žalgiris | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2024 | TransINVEST Vilnius 0-3 Kauno Žalgiris | A Lyga |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Kauno Žalgiris vs TransINVEST Vilnius on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TransINVEST Vilnius score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kauno Žalgiris score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TransINVEST Vilnius | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Kauno Žalgiris | 1.4 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TransINVEST Vilnius sit 2nd in A Lyga (39 points from 25 matches) and Kauno Žalgiris sit 3rd (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 39 |
| 3 | Kauno Žalgiris | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 41 | 16 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris?
- The Footlab model makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for TransINVEST Vilnius.
- Where and when is TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris played?
- TransINVEST Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Širvintų stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.