Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC)Marijampolės futbolo arenos maniežas, Marijampolė
The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Džiugas Telšiai. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai?
Suduva Marijampole starts as the favourite with a 133-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Suduva Marijampole have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Džiugas Telšiai have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Banga(away) | 3-0 | A Lyga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 5-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 6, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 4-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Suduva Marijampole win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Džiugas Telšiai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 0-2 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 1-2 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole 3-2 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Džiugas Telšiai 0-0 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Suduva Marijampole 2-3 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| May 25, 2025 | Džiugas Telšiai 1-1 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Džiugas Telšiai vs Suduva Marijampole on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Suduva Marijampole score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Džiugas Telšiai score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suduva Marijampole | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Džiugas Telšiai | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Suduva Marijampole sit 1st in A Lyga (42 points from 23 matches) and Džiugas Telšiai sit 6th (37 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 42 |
| 6 | Džiugas Telšiai | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai?
- The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Džiugas Telšiai.
- Where and when is Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai played?
- Suduva Marijampole vs Džiugas Telšiai is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:15 PM (UTC) at Marijampolės futbolo arenos maniežas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.