Bangor vs Larne: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Bangor. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangor vs Larne?
Larne is a heavy favourite: 1,828 Elo points against 1,450, a 378-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bangor vs Larne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bangor
4-3-3- 8T. Mulvenna
- 20L. McRoberts
- 9B. Arthurs
- 18O. Devlin
- 7L. Hassin
- 6L. Harrison
- 4L. Francis
- 29Iestyn Tomos Hughes
- 3R. Neale
- 12S. McCullough
- 1G. Deane
Larne
4-3-3- 30M. Lusty
- 9P. O'Neill
- 45M. Gibson
- 6C. Gallagher
- 26D. Bent
- 25D. Sloan
- 4A. Donnelly
- 23T. Cosgrove
- 3M. Ridley
- 11S. Graham
- 1R. Ferguson
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 04:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Larne have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 5-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bangor wins, 1 draw, 5 Larne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Larne 1-0 Bangor | Premiership |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Larne 2-1 Bangor | Premiership |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Larne 2-1 Bangor | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Larne 1-1 Bangor | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Bangor 0-2 Larne | Premiership |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Bangor 0-1 Larne | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Larne score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Larne | 1.4 | 1.2 | 8 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bangor sit 11th in Premiership (5 points from 10 matches) and Larne sit 4th (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Larne | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Bangor | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 5 |
A question about Bangor vs Larne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangor vs Larne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Bangor.
- Where and when is Bangor vs Larne played?
- Bangor vs Larne is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.