Glentoran vs Ballymena United: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Ballymena United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glentoran vs Ballymena United?
Glentoran starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,482).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glentoran have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ballymena United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Glentoran win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ballymena United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Glentoran 2-1 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Glentoran 2-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Ballymena United 0-2 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Glentoran 1-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-1 Glentoran | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Ballymena United vs Glentoran on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glentoran sit 2nd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Ballymena United sit 8th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glentoran vs Ballymena United?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Ballymena United.
- Where and when is Glentoran vs Ballymena United played?
- Glentoran vs Ballymena United is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at BetMcLean Oval, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.