Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Seaview, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Crusaders FC. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?
Coleraine FC starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,458).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crusaders FC have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Coleraine FC have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portadown(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crusaders FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Coleraine FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Coleraine FC 5-1 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Coleraine FC 4-0 Crusaders FC | Irish Cup |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Crusaders FC 0-2 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Crusaders FC 0-4 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| May 7, 2025 | Coleraine FC 1-0 Crusaders FC | Premiership |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Crusaders FC 3-0 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crusaders FC score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Coleraine FC score 2.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crusaders FC | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Coleraine FC | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crusaders FC sit 4th in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Coleraine FC sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Crusaders FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC?
- The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Crusaders FC.
- Where and when is Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC played?
- Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FC is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Seaview, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.