Baník Kalinovo vs Novohrad Lučenec: prediction and stats
3. liga - CenterCentral - 21Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Štadión Kalinovo, Kalinovo
The Footlab model makes Baník Kalinovo the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Novohrad Lučenec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Kalinovo vs Novohrad Lučenec?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Baník Kalinovo (1,440) and Novohrad Lučenec (1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Kalinovo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Novohrad Lučenec have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fiľakovo(home) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Brezno(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(away) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dolný Kubín(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(away) | 0-0 | 3. liga - Center |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Čadca(home) | 3-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - Center |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rimavská Sobota(home) | 1-2 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 30, 2026 | Fiľakovo(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - Center |
| May 23, 2026 | Námestovo(home) | 1-1 | 3. liga - Center |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Baník Kalinovo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Novohrad Lučenec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Baník Kalinovo 0-1 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - Center |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Novohrad Lučenec 2-1 Baník Kalinovo | 3. liga - Center |
| May 10, 2025 | Novohrad Lučenec 0-0 Baník Kalinovo | 3. liga - East |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Baník Kalinovo 1-0 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - East |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Novohrad Lučenec 3-0 Baník Kalinovo | 3. liga - East |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Baník Kalinovo 1-2 Novohrad Lučenec | 3. liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Baník Kalinovo vs Novohrad Lučenec on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Kalinovo score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Novohrad Lučenec score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Kalinovo | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Novohrad Lučenec | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Kalinovo sit 10th in 3. liga - Center (30 points from 26 matches) and Novohrad Lučenec sit 4th (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Novohrad Lučenec | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 43 |
| 10 | Baník Kalinovo | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 43 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Kalinovo vs Novohrad Lučenec?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Kalinovo the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Novohrad Lučenec.
- Where and when is Baník Kalinovo vs Novohrad Lučenec played?
- Baník Kalinovo vs Novohrad Lučenec is played on April 25, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Štadión Kalinovo, in the 3. liga - Center.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.