Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)epet ARENA, Praha
The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Mlada Boleslav. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sparta Praha wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,243 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
On Elo ratings, Sparta Praha has 2,068 points and Mlada Boleslav 2,030.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sparta Praha
4-3-3- 14J. Braut Brunes
- 7J. Alcócer
- 27E. Singhateh
- 20S. Mannsverk
- 26P. Vydra
- 38H. Sochurek
- 6T. Guddal
- 25K. Hoever
- 22L. Mbe Soh
- 30J. Zelený
- 44J. Surovčík
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1- 23J. Klíma
- 28D. Langhamer
- 21M. Šubert
- 20S. John
- 19D. Kozel
- 13D. Donát
- 44O. Karafiát
- 11M. Hybš
- 3M. Králik
- 32F. Matoušek
- 42V. Vorel
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 12:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Praha have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mlada Boleslav have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 5-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-0 | Czech Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hradec Králové(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sparta Praha wins, 2 draws, 1 Mlada Boleslav win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav 2-0 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav 0-0 Sparta Praha | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Mlada Boleslav 1-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Sparta Praha 3-2 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Sparta Praha 2-0 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Praha on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Praha score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mlada Boleslav score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Praha | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Mlada Boleslav | 1.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Praha sit 4th in Czech Liga (24 points from 14 matches) and Mlada Boleslav sit 3rd (25 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 24 |
A question about Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Mlada Boleslav.
- Where and when is Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav played?
- Sparta Praha vs Mlada Boleslav is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at epet ARENA, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.