Slovácko vs FK Jablonec: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Městský fotbalový stadion Miroslava Valenty, Uherské Hradiště
The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Slovácko. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovácko vs FK Jablonec?
FK Jablonec starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovácko have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FK Jablonec have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(home) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-5 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Slovácko win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 FK Jablonec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Jablonec 1-0 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | FK Jablonec 0-0 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Slovácko 0-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | FK Jablonec 4-2 Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Slovácko 0-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Slovácko 0-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: FK Jablonec vs Slovácko on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slovácko score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovácko | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovácko sit 14th in Czech Liga (1 points from 5 matches) and FK Jablonec sit 6th (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Slovácko | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovácko vs FK Jablonec?
- The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Slovácko.
- Where and when is Slovácko vs FK Jablonec played?
- Slovácko vs FK Jablonec is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Městský fotbalový stadion Miroslava Valenty, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.