Baník Souš vs Varnsdorf: prediction and stats
3. liga - CFL BGroup B - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Zdeňka Fibicha, Most
The Footlab model makes Baník Souš the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Varnsdorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baník Souš vs Varnsdorf?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Baník Souš (1,833) and Varnsdorf (1,760).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baník Souš have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Varnsdorf have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Pardubice II(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Turnov(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Teplice II(home) | 5-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Písek(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chrudim(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Benátky nad Jizerou(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hradec Králové II(home) | 5-0 | 3. liga - CFL B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Baník Souš win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Varnsdorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Baník Souš 4-0 Varnsdorf | 3. liga - CFL B |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Varnsdorf 0-3 Baník Souš | 3. liga - CFL B |
Last archived meeting: Baník Souš vs Varnsdorf on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Baník Souš score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Varnsdorf score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Souš | 1.8 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Varnsdorf | 2.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baník Souš sit 3rd in 3. liga - CFL B (64 points from 32 matches) and Varnsdorf sit 11th (37 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Baník Souš | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 60 | 34 | 64 |
| 11 | Varnsdorf | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 65 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baník Souš vs Varnsdorf?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Souš the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Varnsdorf.
- Where and when is Baník Souš vs Varnsdorf played?
- Baník Souš vs Varnsdorf is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Zdeňka Fibicha, in the 3. liga - CFL B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.