Barco vs Estradense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros, O Barco de Valdeorras
The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Barco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estradense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barco vs Estradense?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Barco (1,689) and Estradense (1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barco vs Estradense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barco
Not enough data to predict the Barco lineup.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barco have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Estradense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Antela(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pontevedra II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Silva(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barco wins, 2 draws, 2 Estradense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Estradense 3-1 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Barco 1-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Barco 2-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Estradense 3-1 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 1, 2022 | Barco 1-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Estradense 2-4 Barco | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barco score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Estradense score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barco | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Estradense | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barco sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (11 points from 6 matches) and Estradense sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barco | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Estradense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
A question about Barco vs Estradense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barco vs Estradense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Barco.
- Where and when is Barco vs Estradense played?
- Barco vs Estradense is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.