Pontevedra II vs Celtiga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra
The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra II the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Celtiga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontevedra II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontevedra II vs Celtiga?
A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Pontevedra II (1,617) and Celtiga (1,709).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pontevedra II vs Celtiga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pontevedra II
4-3-3- FFran López
- BBerni
- HHugo Padín
- IIker Arango
- MManuel Rancaño Miguez
- SSanti Garrido
- PPablo Arnosi Seoane
- AAlejandro Pacheco
- SSergio Abal
- GGabriel Jar Rodríguez
- CCarlos GarcÃa
Celtiga
Not enough data to predict the Celtiga lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra II have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Celtiga have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lalin(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Barco(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Somozas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alondras(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Viveiro(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontevedra II score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Celtiga score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontevedra II | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Celtiga | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontevedra II sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 7 matches) and Celtiga sit 12th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtiga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Pontevedra II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Pontevedra II vs Celtiga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontevedra II vs Celtiga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontevedra II the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Celtiga.
- Where and when is Pontevedra II vs Celtiga played?
- Pontevedra II vs Celtiga is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.