Barendrecht vs ROHDA Raalte: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht
The Footlab model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for ROHDA Raalte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barendrecht vs ROHDA Raalte?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Barendrecht (1,814) and ROHDA Raalte (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; ROHDA Raalte have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | HHC(home) | 1-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | RKAV Volendam(away) | 2-5 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 4-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | De Treffers(home) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(away) | 1-6 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; ROHDA Raalte score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| ROHDA Raalte | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barendrecht sit 11th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and ROHDA Raalte sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Barendrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | ROHDA Raalte | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs ROHDA Raalte?
- The Footlab model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for ROHDA Raalte.
- Where and when is Barendrecht vs ROHDA Raalte played?
- Barendrecht vs ROHDA Raalte is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.