Barendrecht vs Waalwijk: prediction and stats
KNVB BekerRound of 64Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Bongerd, Barendrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Waalwijk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barendrecht wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
Barendrecht starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,905 vs 1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barendrecht
4-3-3- 11A. Serghini
- 9B. Vugts
- 10E. Fortes
- 21O. Mrowicki
- 24R. Ouali
- 12C. Schop
- 3Timo de Graaf
- 2J. Brand
- 15K. Rook
- 7D. Monster
- 1B. van der Meer
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 7R. Fage
- 6L. Postma
- 93V. Misidjan
- 8J. Nap
- 22T. van de Loo
- 30J. de Wijs
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 5Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo
- 1N. Schiks
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barendrecht have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Waalwijk have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | De Treffers(away) | 0-4 | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 3-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Almere City II(away) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | HHC(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Barendrecht score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Waalwijk score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barendrecht | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Waalwijk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barendrecht vs Waalwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barendrecht the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Waalwijk.
- Where and when is Barendrecht vs Waalwijk played?
- Barendrecht vs Waalwijk is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Bongerd, in the KNVB Beker.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.