Match

Bari vs Casertana: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale San Nicola, Bari

BariCasertana

The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Casertana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bari wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bari vs Casertana?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Bari (1,783) and Casertana (1,792).

43%28%29%
Bari winDrawCasertana win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bari vs Casertana

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bari

4-3-1-2
  1. 7K. Butić
  2. 24F. Bianchi
  1. 25G. Maggiore
  2. 5E. Darboe
  3. 21M. Della Morte
  4. 11A. Tribuzzi
  1. 79M. Elia
  2. 6V. Mogoș
  3. 72N. Cocetta
  4. 14M. Anzolin
  1. 31M. Cerofolini

Casertana

3-5-2
  1. 10J. Manconi
  2. 9D. Castelli
  1. 18S. Oukhadda
  2. 21F. Vezzoni
  3. 16S. Pezzella
  4. 32F. Di Tacchio
  5. 8S. Girelli
  1. 4I. Kontek
  2. 17A. Caporale
  3. 24F. Belli
  1. 1V. De Lucia

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:58 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bari have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Casertana have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Giugliano(home)2-0Serie C - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Salernitana(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Cosenza(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Sorrento(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Potenza(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Casertana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026SS Monopoli(home)3-1Serie C - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Cavese(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Catania(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Audace Cerignola(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Team Altamura(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Bari wins, 1 draw, 0 Casertana wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2021Bari 1-1 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 22, 2020Casertana 0-2 BariSerie C - Girone C
Dec 15, 2019Casertana 0-3 BariSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Bari vs Casertana on Mar 17, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Casertana score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bari1.30.6104/156/15
Casertana1.51.4311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bari sit 2nd in Serie C - Girone C (19 points from 9 matches) and Casertana sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bari961213619
5Casertana9432151315

A question about Bari vs Casertana?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bari vs Casertana?
The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Casertana.
Where and when is Bari vs Casertana played?
Bari vs Casertana is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale San Nicola, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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