Casarano vs Crotone: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 30Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, Casarano
The Footlab AI model makes Casarano the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Crotone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casarano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casarano vs Crotone?
On Elo ratings, Casarano has 1,770 points and Crotone 1,741.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Casarano vs Crotone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Casarano
4-3-3- 10C. Chiricò
- 11V. Ferrara
- 9F. Grandolfo
- 23G. Logoluso
- 17R. Maiello
- 21N. Zanellato
- 33M. Mercadante
- 2P. Ciotti
- 36E. Matino
- 3F. Giraudo
- 97A. Farroni
Crotone
4-2-3-1- 96M. Zunno
- 99F. Crapisto
- 80Filippo Grosso
- 31P. Rodriguez
- 5L. Russo
- 8I. Torres
- 13N. Armini
- 26G. Tanco
- 63A. Veltri
- 23F. Groppelli
- 1D. Merelli
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casarano have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Crotone have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | SS Monopoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Savoia(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Catania(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SS Monopoli(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Inter U23(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Casarano wins, 0 draws, 2 Crotone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Casarano 1-2 Crotone | Serie C - Girone C |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Crotone 2-0 Casarano | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Casarano score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Crotone score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casarano | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Crotone | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casarano sit 14th in Serie C - Girone C (11 points from 9 matches) and Crotone sit 20th (0 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Casarano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
| 20 | Crotone | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
A question about Casarano vs Crotone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casarano vs Crotone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Casarano the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Crotone.
- Where and when is Casarano vs Crotone played?
- Casarano vs Crotone is played on March 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Capozza, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.