Match

Casertana vs Bari: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 11Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, Caserta

CasertanaBari

The Footlab AI model makes Casertana the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Bari. The most likely score is 1-1. If Casertana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Casertana vs Bari?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Casertana (1,840) and Bari (1,834).

49%27%24%
Casertana winDrawBari win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Casertana vs Bari

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Casertana

3-5-2
  1. 10J. Manconi
  2. 9D. Castelli
  1. 18S. Oukhadda
  2. 21F. Vezzoni
  3. 16S. Pezzella
  4. 32F. Di Tacchio
  5. 8S. Girelli
  1. 4I. Kontek
  2. 17A. Caporale
  3. 24F. Belli
  1. 1V. De Lucia

Bari

4-3-1-2
  1. 7K. Butić
  2. 24F. Bianchi
  1. 25G. Maggiore
  2. 5E. Darboe
  3. 21M. Della Morte
  4. 11A. Tribuzzi
  1. 79M. Elia
  2. 6V. Mogoș
  3. 72N. Cocetta
  4. 14M. Anzolin
  1. 31M. Cerofolini

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casertana have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bari have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Casertana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Cavese(away)0-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Catania(home)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Audace Cerignola(away)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Team Altamura(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 12, 2026Inter U23(away)3-2Serie C - Girone C
Bari
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Salernitana(away)1-2Serie C - Girone C
Sep 26, 2026Cosenza(home)1-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 19, 2026Sorrento(away)2-1Serie C - Girone C
Sep 15, 2026Potenza(home)0-0Serie C - Girone C
Sep 11, 2026Team Altamura(away)3-0Serie C - Girone C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Casertana wins, 1 draw, 2 Bari wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2021Bari 1-1 CasertanaSerie C - Girone C
Nov 22, 2020Casertana 0-2 BariSerie C - Girone C
Dec 15, 2019Casertana 0-3 BariSerie C - Girone C

Last archived meeting: Bari vs Casertana on Mar 17, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Casertana score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Casertana1.31.5310/157/15
Bari1.20.794/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Casertana sit 8th in Serie C - Girone C (12 points from 8 matches) and Bari sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Bari851211616
8Casertana8332121212

A question about Casertana vs Bari?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Casertana vs Bari?
The Footlab AI model makes Casertana the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Bari.
Where and when is Casertana vs Bari played?
Casertana vs Bari is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Alberto Pinto, in the Serie C - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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