Barnsley vs Leyton Orient: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Leyton Orient?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Barnsley (1,791) and Leyton Orient (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Leyton Orient have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wigan(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Waltham Abbey(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barnsley win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Leyton Orient win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Leyton Orient 1-3 Barnsley | League One |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Barnsley 3-2 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Leyton Orient 4-3 Barnsley | League One |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Barnsley 0-4 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Barnsley 2-1 Leyton Orient | League One |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Leyton Orient 1-1 Barnsley | League One |
Last archived meeting: Leyton Orient vs Barnsley on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leyton Orient score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Leyton Orient | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 21st in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Leyton Orient sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Leyton Orient?
- The Footlab model makes Leyton Orient the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Leyton Orient played?
- Barnsley vs Leyton Orient is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.