Leicester vs Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Milton Keynes Dons. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leicester wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,509 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicester vs Milton Keynes Dons?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Leicester (1,969) and Milton Keynes Dons (1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leicester vs Milton Keynes Dons
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leicester
3-4-2-1- 17E. Riis
- 33L. Thomas
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 6J. Lundstram
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 27K. Doyle
- 16W. O'Hora
- 5C. Okoli
- 15H. Souttar
- 29A. McCarthy
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 8A. Gilbey
- 17S. Silvera
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 22I. Fullah
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 05:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Milton Keynes Dons have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reading(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 7-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leicester win, 1 draw, 0 Milton Keynes Dons wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-0 Leicester | League One |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-3 Leicester | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Milton Keynes Dons vs Leicester on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Milton Keynes Dons score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicester sit 13th in League One (15 points from 11 matches) and Milton Keynes Dons sit 18th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
A question about Leicester vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicester vs Milton Keynes Dons?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leicester the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Milton Keynes Dons.
- Where and when is Leicester vs Milton Keynes Dons played?
- Leicester vs Milton Keynes Dons is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at King Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.