Burton Albion vs Notts County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burton Albion wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Notts County?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,837) and Notts County (1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 3J. Armer
- 6T. Sibbick
- 16C. Tilt
- 26F. Delap
- 12G. Evans
- 34C. Addai
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Notts County have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Burton Albion wins, 0 draws, 3 Notts County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Notts County 2-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Burton Albion 1-2 Notts County | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 3, 2013 | Notts County 1-0 Burton Albion | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Notts County vs Burton Albion on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 9th in League One (13 points from 11 matches) and Notts County sit 23rd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 23 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burton Albion the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Notts County played?
- Burton Albion vs Notts County is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.