Barnsley vs Notts County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnsley vs Notts County?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Barnsley (1,787) and Notts County (1,860).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnsley vs Notts County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnsley
4-2-3-1- 10B. Touré
- 8C. McGeehan
- 19R. Cleary
- 22Patrick Kelly
- 17Amani Richards
- 45Vimal Yoganathan
- 6C. O'Riordan
- 2A. Kay
- 5J. Shepherd
- 11T. Noslin
- 25Rogan Ravenhill
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Notts County have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 3-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Peterborough(away) | 3-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Barnsley win, 1 draw, 2 Notts County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2025 | Notts County 2-1 Barnsley | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 10, 2018 | Barnsley 4-0 Notts County | FA Cup |
| Apr 14, 2015 | Notts County 1-1 Barnsley | League One |
| Oct 21, 2014 | Barnsley 2-3 Notts County | League One |
Last archived meeting: Notts County vs Barnsley on Sep 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Barnsley score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnsley sit 19th in League One (8 points from 8 matches) and Notts County sit 22nd (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Barnsley vs Notts County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Notts County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Barnsley.
- Where and when is Barnsley vs Notts County played?
- Barnsley vs Notts County is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.