Wigan vs Bradford: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)DW Stadium, Wigan
The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Wigan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigan vs Bradford?
Bradford starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigan have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bradford have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Preston(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wigan win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bradford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Wigan 2-0 Bradford | League One |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Bradford 2-1 Wigan | League One |
| Mar 14, 2018 | Bradford 0-1 Wigan | League One |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Wigan 1-2 Bradford | League One |
| Mar 19, 2016 | Wigan 1-0 Bradford | League One |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Bradford 1-1 Wigan | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Wigan score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bradford score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Bradford | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigan sit 24th in League One (0 points from 2 matches) and Bradford sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigan vs Bradford?
- The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Wigan.
- Where and when is Wigan vs Bradford played?
- Wigan vs Bradford is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at DW Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.