Match

Barnsley vs Bradford: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Oakwell, Barnsley, South Yorkshire

BarnsleyBradford

The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Barnsley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barnsley vs Bradford?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Barnsley (1,791) and Bradford (1,886).

Barnsley win29 %
Draw27 %
Bradford win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnsley have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bradford have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barnsley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Crewe(home)3-2League Cup
Aug 22, 2026Doncaster(away)0-0League One
Aug 15, 2026Bromley(home)0-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Wigan(home)1-1League Cup
Aug 2, 2026Guiseley AFC(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Bradford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Sheffield Wednesday(away)1-0League One
Aug 15, 2026Peterborough(home)2-0League One
Aug 8, 2026Rochdale(home)2-0League Cup
Aug 1, 2026Salford City(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Preston(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barnsley win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Bradford win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Barnsley 2-2 BradfordLeague One
Oct 18, 2025Bradford 2-2 BarnsleyLeague One
Nov 21, 2023Bradford 5-1 BarnsleyEFL Trophy
Jan 12, 2019Barnsley 3-0 BradfordLeague One
Nov 13, 2018Barnsley 2-1 BradfordEFL Trophy
Aug 11, 2018Bradford 0-2 BarnsleyLeague One

Last archived meeting: Barnsley vs Bradford on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Barnsley score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bradford score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barnsley1.31.158/157/15
Bradford1.61.038/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barnsley sit 21st in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Bradford sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bradford2200306
21Barnsley2011011

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barnsley vs Bradford?
The Footlab model makes Bradford the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Barnsley.
Where and when is Barnsley vs Bradford played?
Barnsley vs Bradford is played on April 13, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Oakwell, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Barnsley and Bradford

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