Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Hessen-Stadion, Offenbach
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Kickers Offenbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Kickers Offenbach (1,950) and SGV Freiberg (2,031).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kickers Offenbach have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 1-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kickers Offenbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SGV Freiberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 2-0 Kickers Offenbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Kickers Offenbach 2-5 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Kickers Offenbach 0-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 10, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 0-0 Kickers Offenbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 6, 2024 | SGV Freiberg 2-2 Kickers Offenbach | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Kickers Offenbach 2-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kickers Offenbach score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers Offenbach | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kickers Offenbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - SudWest (9 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kickers Offenbach | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Kickers Offenbach.
- Where and when is Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg played?
- Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Hessen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026SV SandhausenvsVfR Aalen
- Oct 24, 2026FSV FrankfurtvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Oct 24, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsHessen Kassel
- Oct 24, 2026Eintracht TriervsStuttgarter Kickers
- Oct 24, 2026SSV Ulm 1846vsFC 08 Homburg
- Oct 24, 2026TSV SteinbachvsVfR Mannheim
- Oct 24, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Oct 24, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsFreiburg II