Match

Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sparda-Bank-Hessen-Stadion, Offenbach

Kickers OffenbachSGV Freiberg

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Kickers Offenbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?

A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Kickers Offenbach (1,950) and SGV Freiberg (2,031).

Kickers Offenbach win28 %
Draw23 %
SGV Freiberg win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kickers Offenbach have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kickers Offenbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FSV Mainz 05 II(home)3-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 14, 2026SSV Ulm 1846(away)2-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FC Astoria Walldorf(home)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026Fortuna Köln(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026VfB Stuttgart(home)1-8Friendlies Clubs
SGV Freiberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)5-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)1-6Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kickers Offenbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 SGV Freiberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026SGV Freiberg 2-0 Kickers OffenbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 20, 2025Kickers Offenbach 2-5 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Dec 6, 2024Kickers Offenbach 0-2 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Aug 10, 2024SGV Freiberg 0-0 Kickers OffenbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Apr 6, 2024SGV Freiberg 2-2 Kickers OffenbachRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 3, 2023Kickers Offenbach 2-0 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs Kickers Offenbach on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kickers Offenbach score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kickers Offenbach1.91.9211/1512/15
SGV Freiberg1.72.149/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kickers Offenbach sit 1st in Regionalliga - SudWest (9 points from 3 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Kickers Offenbach3300729
2SGV Freiberg3210807

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg?
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Kickers Offenbach.
Where and when is Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg played?
Kickers Offenbach vs SGV Freiberg is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sparda-Bank-Hessen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kickers Offenbach and SGV Freiberg

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