Barranquilla vs Millonarios: prediction and stats
Copa ColombiaRound of 16Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Barranquilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barranquilla vs Millonarios?
Millonarios is a heavy favourite: 1,814 Elo points against 1,479 — a 336-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barranquilla have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Depor FC(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Junior(home) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Orsomarso(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Junior(away) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Barranquilla score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barranquilla | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Millonarios | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barranquilla vs Millonarios?
- The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Barranquilla.
- Where and when is Barranquilla vs Millonarios played?
- Barranquilla vs Millonarios is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Copa Colombia.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Aug 13, 2026Deportivo CalivsAtletico Nacional
- Aug 14, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsOnce Caldas
- Aug 15, 2026MillonariosvsBarranquilla
- Aug 19, 2026LlanerosvsQuindio
- Aug 19, 2026Internacional de BogotavsReal Soacha
- Aug 20, 2026Once CaldasvsAlianza Valledupar
- Aug 20, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportivo Cali