Match

Barranquilla vs Millonarios: prediction and stats

Copa ColombiaRound of 16Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla

BarranquillaMillonarios

The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Barranquilla. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barranquilla vs Millonarios?

Millonarios is a heavy favourite: 1,814 Elo points against 1,479 — a 336-point gap.

Barranquilla win24 %
Draw27 %
Millonarios win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barranquilla have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barranquilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Santander(away)2-2Primera B
Aug 2, 2026Depor FC(home)2-2Primera B
Jul 29, 2026Junior(home)3-3Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026Orsomarso(away)0-1Primera B
Jul 23, 2026Junior(away)2-2Copa Colombia
Millonarios
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Deportivo Pasto(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Junior(away)1-0Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Bucaramanga(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 18, 2026Colo Colo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Barranquilla score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barranquilla1.41.5310/158/15
Millonarios1.91.058/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Millonarios431014510

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barranquilla vs Millonarios?
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Barranquilla.
Where and when is Barranquilla vs Millonarios played?
Barranquilla vs Millonarios is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:45 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, in the Copa Colombia.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Barranquilla and Millonarios

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