Barrow vs AFC Fylde: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Barrow. The most likely score is 1-1. If AFC Fylde wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barrow vs AFC Fylde?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barrow vs AFC Fylde
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
AFC Fylde
4-3-3- 8T. Whelan
- 7Luca Thomas
- 19C. Main
- 6C. Merrie
- 10D. Mayor
- 14G. Olley
- 17C. Whelan
- 29A. Drewe
- 15W. Lancaster
- 3H. Broad
- 1Z. Jones
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barrow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Fylde have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Southend(away) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 0-2 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 1-0 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barrow wins, 3 draws, 1 AFC Fylde win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2024 | Barrow 0-1 AFC Fylde | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2023 | AFC Fylde 0-2 Barrow | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 1, 2020 | AFC Fylde 0-1 Barrow | National League |
| Dec 26, 2019 | Barrow 1-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Jan 1, 2019 | AFC Fylde 0-0 Barrow | National League |
| Dec 26, 2018 | Barrow 1-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Fylde score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| AFC Fylde | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barrow sit 8th in National League (21 points from 13 matches) and AFC Fylde sit 7th (23 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
A question about Barrow vs AFC Fylde?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barrow vs AFC Fylde?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Barrow.
- Where and when is Barrow vs AFC Fylde played?
- Barrow vs AFC Fylde is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SO Legal Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.