Hartlepool vs Boston United: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Boston United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hartlepool wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Boston United?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Hartlepool (1,734) and Boston United (1,767).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hartlepool vs Boston United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Boston United
4-3-3- 9Tom Cursons
- 10C. McBride
- 18L. Wheeldon
- 30N. Pozo
- 15Oliver Bostock
- 8G. Holohan
- 4C. Teale
- 16L. Sutton
- 28T. Agyemang
- 23J. Grimes
- 13Louis Chadwick
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartlepool have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Boston United have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marine(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 5-6 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-6 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FC Halifax Town(away) | 1-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hartlepool wins, 1 draw, 1 Boston United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Boston United 3-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Sep 3, 2025 | Hartlepool 1-1 Boston United | National League |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Hartlepool 4-1 Boston United | National League |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Boston United 1-2 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boston United vs Hartlepool on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hartlepool score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Boston United score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Boston United | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hartlepool sit 20th in National League (12 points from 13 matches) and Boston United sit 21st (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston United | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 12 |
A question about Hartlepool vs Boston United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hartlepool vs Boston United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hartlepool the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Boston United.
- Where and when is Hartlepool vs Boston United played?
- Hartlepool vs Boston United is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Suit Direct Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.