AFC Fylde vs Gateshead: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mill Farm Stadium, Wesham
The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Fylde vs Gateshead?
AFC Fylde starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Fylde have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gateshead have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Woking(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 0-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Woking(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 AFC Fylde win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gateshead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Gateshead 1-1 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | AFC Fylde 3-0 Gateshead | National League |
| Apr 11, 2024 | AFC Fylde 2-0 Gateshead | National League |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Gateshead 0-4 AFC Fylde | National League |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Gateshead 0-3 AFC Fylde | National League - North |
| Nov 27, 2021 | AFC Fylde 1-0 Gateshead | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Gateshead vs AFC Fylde on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Fylde score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Fylde | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gateshead | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Fylde sit 13th in National League (4 points from 3 matches) and Gateshead sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Fylde vs Gateshead?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Fylde the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Gateshead.
- Where and when is AFC Fylde vs Gateshead played?
- AFC Fylde vs Gateshead is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mill Farm Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.