Barry Town vs Briton Ferry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Briton Ferry. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs Briton Ferry?
Barry Town starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,974 vs 1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Briton Ferry have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Barry Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Briton Ferry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Briton Ferry 2-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2025 | Barry Town 0-1 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Barry Town 5-0 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Briton Ferry 3-4 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Briton Ferry 0-0 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Barry Town 3-1 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Briton Ferry vs Barry Town on Dec 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Briton Ferry score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 1.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Briton Ferry | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 1st in Premier League (12 points from 4 matches) and Briton Ferry sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs Briton Ferry?
- The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Briton Ferry.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs Briton Ferry played?
- Barry Town vs Briton Ferry is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.