Penybont vs Ammanford AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
The Footlab model makes Penybont the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penybont vs Ammanford AFC?
Penybont starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,665).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Ammanford AFC have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Penybont win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ammanford AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2022 | Penybont 1-2 Ammanford AFC | League Cup |
| May 7, 2019 | Ammanford AFC 1-3 Penybont | FAW Championship |
| Oct 26, 2018 | Penybont 4-1 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Ammanford AFC on Sep 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ammanford AFC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Ammanford AFC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Ammanford AFC sit 12th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Ammanford AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penybont vs Ammanford AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Penybont the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Penybont vs Ammanford AFC played?
- Penybont vs Ammanford AFC is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at SDM Glass Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.