Penybont vs Ammanford AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Ammanford AFC. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,050 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penybont vs Ammanford AFC?
Penybont starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Penybont vs Ammanford AFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Penybont
4-3-3- 7N. Wood
- 23T. Walker
- 20M. Manga
- 4T. Mehew
- 8Owen Robert Pritchard
- 19R. Hill
- 32L. Shephard
- 6M. Davies
- 17D. Jefferies
- 33E. Vaughan
- 22A. Pennock
Ammanford AFC
4-3-3- 24J. Evans
- 8A. Orme
- 30J. M. Case
- 2S. Woodhouse
- 6M. Delaney
- 13J. Hopkins
- 5C. Bell
- 4G. Euros
- 17L. Davies
- 19O. Davies
- 99O. Williams
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ammanford AFC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 3-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | FC Cwmaman(away) | 4-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 1-5 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Penybont wins, 0 draws, 1 Ammanford AFC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Ammanford AFC 1-5 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Penybont 1-2 Ammanford AFC | League Cup |
| May 7, 2019 | Ammanford AFC 1-3 Penybont | FAW Championship |
| Oct 26, 2018 | Penybont 4-1 Ammanford AFC | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ammanford AFC vs Penybont on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ammanford AFC score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ammanford AFC | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (30 points from 13 matches) and Ammanford AFC sit 13th (9 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
| 13 | Ammanford AFC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 9 |
A question about Penybont vs Ammanford AFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penybont vs Ammanford AFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penybont the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for Ammanford AFC.
- Where and when is Penybont vs Ammanford AFC played?
- Penybont vs Ammanford AFC is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at SDM Glass Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.