Briton Ferry vs The New Saints: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Old Road, Briton Ferry
The Footlab model makes The New Saints the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Briton Ferry. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Briton Ferry vs The New Saints?
The New Saints starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (2,082 vs 1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Briton Ferry have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; The New Saints have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Briton Ferry win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 The New Saints win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints 1-0 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Briton Ferry 0-2 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | The New Saints 0-3 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2024 | The New Saints 5-2 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Briton Ferry 3-1 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Briton Ferry 1-5 The New Saints | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Briton Ferry on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Briton Ferry score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; The New Saints score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briton Ferry | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| The New Saints | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Briton Ferry sit 8th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and The New Saints sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Briton Ferry vs The New Saints?
- The Footlab model makes The New Saints the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Briton Ferry.
- Where and when is Briton Ferry vs The New Saints played?
- Briton Ferry vs The New Saints is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Old Road, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.