Barycz Sułów vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barycz Sułów vs SKRA Częstochowa?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Barycz Sułów (1,756) and SKRA Częstochowa (1,782).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Barycz Sułów have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Gorzów(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Barycz Sułów score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 10; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barycz Sułów | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barycz Sułów vs SKRA Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes Barycz Sułów the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for SKRA Częstochowa.
- Where and when is Barycz Sułów vs SKRA Częstochowa played?
- Barycz Sułów vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsWarta Gorzów
- Nov 7, 2026ROW RybnikvsKluczbork
- Nov 7, 2026Stilon GorzówvsStal Brzeg
- Nov 7, 2026Zagłębie Lubin IIvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Nov 7, 2026Górnik PolkowicevsSparta Katowice
- Nov 7, 2026Carina GubinvsSłowianin
- Nov 7, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsMiedź Legnica II
- Nov 7, 2026Odra Bytom OdrzańskivsŚlęza Wrocław