Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski
The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Stilon Gorzów (1,724) and Stal Brzeg (1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stilon Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kluczbork(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rakow II(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Stilon Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stal Brzeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Stilon Gorzów 1-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Stal Brzeg 0-2 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Stilon Gorzów 2-5 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Stal Brzeg 0-2 Stilon Gorzów | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilon Gorzów | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stilon Gorzów sit 11th in III Liga - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Stilon Gorzów | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg?
- The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stal Brzeg.
- Where and when is Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg played?
- Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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