Match

Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Stilon GorzówStal Brzeg

The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Stilon Gorzów (1,724) and Stal Brzeg (1,629).

Stilon Gorzów win52 %
Draw24 %
Stal Brzeg win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stilon Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stilon Gorzów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kluczbork(home)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Rakow II(away)4-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Stal Brzeg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rakow II(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Nysa(away)2-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Sparta Katowice(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)5-1III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Stilon Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stal Brzeg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025Stilon Gorzów 1-0 Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3
Oct 19, 2024Stal Brzeg 0-2 Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3
Apr 8, 2023Stilon Gorzów 2-5 Stal BrzegIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 3, 2022Stal Brzeg 0-2 Stilon GorzówIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg on May 17, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stilon Gorzów score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stilon Gorzów1.71.249/158/15
Stal Brzeg1.51.347/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stilon Gorzów sit 11th in III Liga - Group 3 (7 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Stal Brzeg52211268
11Stilon Gorzów5212967

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg?
The Footlab model makes Stilon Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Stal Brzeg.
Where and when is Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg played?
Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stilon Gorzów and Stal Brzeg

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