Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zagłębie Lubin II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Zagłębie Lubin II 5-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 15, 2022 | Zagłębie Lubin II 4-4 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 0-0 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2020 | Zagłębie Lubin II 1-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Zagłębie Lubin II on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 3 (11 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
- The Footlab model makes Zagłębie Lubin II the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
- Where and when is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?
- Zagłębie Lubin II vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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