Match

Karela vs Medeama: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, Nalerigu

KarelaMedeama

The Footlab AI model makes Karela the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-1. If Karela wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,800 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karela vs Medeama?

On Elo ratings, Karela has 1,584 points and Medeama 1,700.

45%29%26%
Karela winDrawMedeama win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Karela vs Medeama

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Karela

4-3-3
  1. 11E. Antwi Konadu
  2. 29Mohammed Mankuyeli
  3. 9D. Holland
  1. 14L. Devitt
  2. 13M. Abubakar
  3. 29M. A. Alhassan
  1. 3F. Gariba
  2. 30A. Ali
  3. 24Edmund Afurapoe
  4. 2F. Mohammed
  1. 16K. Amechi

Medeama

4-3-3
  1. 33K. Nkrumah
  2. 20E. Annor
  3. 19K. Braye
  1. 8E. Dogli
  2. 23P. Owusu
  3. 32P. Owusu
  1. 4Y. Mubarik
  2. 12Abdul-Raman Yaya
  3. 6E. Adade
  4. 37I. Doumbia
  1. 1Y. Saeed

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 08:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karela have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Medeama have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karela
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Swedru All Blacks(away)0-2Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Dreams(home)1-0Premier League
Oct 1, 2026Asante Kotoko(away)0-1Premier League
Sep 26, 2026Hearts of Oak(home)1-0Premier League
Sep 20, 2026Aduana Stars(away)1-2Premier League
Medeama
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Samartex(away)1-2Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Heart of Lions(home)3-1Premier League
Oct 4, 2026Debibi United(away)1-0Premier League
Sep 30, 2026Port City(home)1-0Premier League
Sep 27, 2026Basake Holy Stars(home)4-1Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Karela wins, 1 draw, 2 Medeama wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Medeama 3-1 KarelaPremier League
Sep 28, 2025Karela 1-0 MedeamaPremier League
May 18, 2025Karela 3-1 MedeamaPremier League
Jan 1, 2025Medeama 1-0 KarelaPremier League
Jun 16, 2024Medeama 0-1 KarelaPremier League
Dec 30, 2023Karela 0-0 MedeamaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Karela on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Karela score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Karela0.91.155/156/15
Medeama1.81.4311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Karela sit 9th in Premier League (9 points from 6 matches) and Medeama sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Medeama642012514
9Karela6303779

A question about Karela vs Medeama?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karela vs Medeama?
The Footlab AI model makes Karela the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Medeama.
Where and when is Karela vs Medeama played?
Karela vs Medeama is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Naa Sheriga Sports Complex, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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