Basake Holy Stars vs Medeama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, Nzema Anyinase
The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basake Holy Stars vs Medeama?
Medeama starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,660 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basake Holy Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Medeama have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Dreams(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Basake Holy Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Medeama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Medeama 2-1 Basake Holy Stars | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars 0-1 Medeama | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Medeama 1-1 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| Apr 1, 2025 | Medeama 2-1 Basake Holy Stars | Premier League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Basake Holy Stars 1-2 Medeama | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Medeama 1-0 Basake Holy Stars | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Medeama vs Basake Holy Stars on May 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basake Holy Stars score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basake Holy Stars | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basake Holy Stars sit 12th in Premier League (46 points from 34 matches) and Medeama sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 12 | Basake Holy Stars | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basake Holy Stars vs Medeama?
- The Footlab model makes Basake Holy Stars the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Medeama.
- Where and when is Basake Holy Stars vs Medeama played?
- Basake Holy Stars vs Medeama is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.