Hearts of Oak vs Karela: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 59%, against 29% for a draw and 12% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hearts of Oak vs Karela?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Hearts of Oak (1,637) and Karela (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hearts of Oak have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hearts of Oak win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Karela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Karela 2-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Karela 0-1 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Hearts of Oak 3-1 Karela | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Karela 1-1 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Karela on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hearts of Oak sit 3rd in Premier League (54 points from 34 matches) and Karela sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hearts of Oak vs Karela?
- The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 59%, against 29% for a draw and 12% for Karela.
- Where and when is Hearts of Oak vs Karela played?
- Hearts of Oak vs Karela is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.