Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Alanyaspor. The most likely score is 1-1. If Başakşehir wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor?
Başakşehir starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,053 vs 1,952).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1- 9D. Selke
- 70A. Skov Olsen
- 14E. Shomurodov
- 8O. Kemen
- 77I. Brnić
- 18J. Kałuziński
- 23E. Bayram
- 27O. Ba
- 33M. Karbownik
- 38S. Kharebashvili
- 16M. Şengezer
Alanyaspor
3-5-2- 7İ. Kaya
- 19Iván Cédric
- 94F. Hadërgjonaj
- 42G. Makouta
- 11Ruan
- 55B. Gezek
- 58Maestro
- 5F. Aliti
- 3Nuno Lima
- 20F. Aksoy
- 48Paulo Victor
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 05:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Başakşehir have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Alanyaspor have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 5-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Beşiktaş(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gaziantep FK(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 0-5 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 27, 2026 | 12 Bingölspor(home) | 4-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Başakşehir wins, 1 draw, 2 Alanyaspor wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Alanyaspor 1-2 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-1 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Alanyaspor 5-4 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Başakşehir 4-2 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Başakşehir 3-2 Alanyaspor | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Alanyaspor 2-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Alanyaspor vs Başakşehir on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Başakşehir score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Alanyaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Alanyaspor | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Başakşehir sit 10th in Süper Lig (14 points from 10 matches) and Alanyaspor sit 12th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Başakşehir | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor?
- The Footlab AI model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 58%, against 23% for a draw and 19% for Alanyaspor.
- Where and when is Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor played?
- Başakşehir vs Alanyaspor is played on May 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.