Trabzonspor vs Erzurumspor FK: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Papara Park, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Erzurumspor FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trabzonspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
Trabzonspor starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,084 vs 1,950).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trabzonspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Erzurumspor FK have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Başakşehir(home) | 2-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(away) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Göztepe(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-3 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Rizespor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Trabzonspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Erzurumspor FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | Erzurumspor FK 0-0 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Trabzonspor 1-0 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
| Feb 13, 2020 | Erzurumspor FK 1-4 Trabzonspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 4, 2020 | Trabzonspor 5-0 Erzurumspor FK | Türkiye Kupası |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Trabzonspor | Süper Lig |
| Oct 22, 2018 | Trabzonspor 0-0 Erzurumspor FK | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Erzurumspor FK vs Trabzonspor on Mar 14, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Trabzonspor score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erzurumspor FK score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Erzurumspor FK | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trabzonspor sit 4th in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Erzurumspor FK sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 18 | Erzurumspor FK | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
- The Footlab model makes Trabzonspor the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Erzurumspor FK.
- Where and when is Trabzonspor vs Erzurumspor FK played?
- Trabzonspor vs Erzurumspor FK is played on May 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Papara Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.