Amed vs Fenerbahçe: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Seyrantepe Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu 1, Diyarbakır
The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Amed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Amed vs Fenerbahçe?
Fenerbahçe starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (2,208 vs 1,910).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Amed have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Fenerbahçe have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Kocaelispor(away) | 0-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(home) | 3-0 | Süper Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Iğdır FK(away) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Konyaspor(home) | 4-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Amed win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Fenerbahçe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | Fenerbahçe 3-0 Amed | Türkiye Kupası |
| Dec 15, 2016 | Amed 1-1 Fenerbahçe | Türkiye Kupası |
| Mar 3, 2016 | Fenerbahçe 3-1 Amed | Türkiye Kupası |
| Feb 9, 2016 | Amed 3-3 Fenerbahçe | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Amed score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fenerbahçe score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amed | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fenerbahçe | 2.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Amed sit 9th in Süper Lig (3 points from 2 matches) and Fenerbahçe sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Amed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Amed vs Fenerbahçe?
- The Footlab model makes Fenerbahçe the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Amed.
- Where and when is Amed vs Fenerbahçe played?
- Amed vs Fenerbahçe is played on May 23, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Seyrantepe Spor Kompleksi Stadyumu 1, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.