Basel II vs Bellinzona: prediction and stats
1. Liga PromotionGroup StageKick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, Basel
The Footlab AI model makes Basel II the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Bellinzona. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Basel II vs Bellinzona?
Basel II starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,586 vs 1,412).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Basel II vs Bellinzona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Basel II
Not enough data to predict the Basel II lineup.
Bellinzona
Not enough data to predict the Bellinzona lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Basel II have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Bellinzona have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bavois(home) | 3-1 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Biel-Bienne(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Luzern II(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Young Boys II(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bulle(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Collina d'Oro(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 10, 2026 | YF Juventus(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zürich II(home) | 0-4 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Breitenrain(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Grand-Saconnex(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga Promotion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Basel II wins, 1 draw, 1 Bellinzona win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bellinzona 2-3 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Bellinzona 2-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Basel II 2-1 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Basel II 2-1 Bellinzona | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Oct 12, 2019 | Bellinzona 1-3 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Bellinzona 0-0 Basel II | 1. Liga Promotion |
Last archived meeting: Bellinzona vs Basel II on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Basel II score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bellinzona score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basel II | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Bellinzona | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Basel II sit 7th in 1. Liga Promotion (19 points from 12 matches) and Bellinzona sit 18th (5 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Basel II | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
| 18 | Bellinzona | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Basel II vs Bellinzona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Basel II vs Bellinzona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Basel II the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Bellinzona.
- Where and when is Basel II vs Bellinzona played?
- Basel II vs Bellinzona is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob, in the 1. Liga Promotion.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.